Tariffs at a level of 50% on products from India, to dissuade their industry from importing cheap russian oil, are making good indirect pressure means on Vladimir Vladimirovitch. Russia is today India’s leading oil supplier, ahead of the Middle East, which is geographically much closer. The share of Russian oil in Indian imports has increased from less than 0.2% before 2022 to 35-40% today.
Although it deprives India of considerable revenues, although it weakens indian energy security, Narendra Modi will at the end give up, even if it means losing face both nationally and internationally. For India easy money is like a drug and the withrawal from the adiction is sudden and violent. But if it’s price for peace in Ukraine, fuck Modi!
On this specific blackmail to India and for once, I agree with Trump. But what about China ? Xi Jin Ping is a much more dangerous villain and an undeflectible ally of Vladimir Vladimirovitch. Not Narendra Modi, who is just a cynical opportunist and a extreme-right wing dictator in his own country.
Since the beginning of this war, the world oil price is one of the key factors, in order to make Russia bent. And Donald Trump perceived it very well because he is a business man (better than a skilled politician).